Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
2º
49
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 88 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 83 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 82 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 68 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 67 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 51 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 49 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 49 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 47 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 46 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 43 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
19º
|
21 | 36 |
18º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 36 |
19º
|
21% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 28 |
20º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
26% | 10% |
|
Champions League
|
74% | 89% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
LEG
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 3
FCB
32%
22%
46%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BET
2 - 2
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 5
FCB
7%
15%
78%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
UDL
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
GET
78%
15%
7%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 1
SBR
84%
12%
5%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 3
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CPC
1 - 3
ATM
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAD
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | +1 |