Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
FCB
7%
16%
77%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
ARS
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
6 - 0
GET
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EIB
0 - 4
FCB
3%
12%
85%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
5 - 1
BET
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATM
19%
28%
54%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
PSV
62%
22%
17%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEP
77%
16%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VCF
1 - 3
ATM
39%
29%
32%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |