Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SEV
3 - 0
FCB
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1969 |
GYO
2 - 3
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
FCB
3 - 1
SAB
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
RSO
1 - 0
FCB
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATH
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ATM
2 - 0
ZAR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
ATM
32%
30%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ATM
3 - 1
MLL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATM
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |