Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 5
FCB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1963 |
SHE
0 - 2
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
PON
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCP
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ATM
3 - 1
VAD
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATM
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATM
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |