Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
CEL
4 - 0
FCB
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 1
BIR
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 1
ESP
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 0
BIR
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
VAD
1 - 2
FCB
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ATM
5 - 1
GRA
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ATM
4 - 2
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |