Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
73%
14%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
FCB
4 - 1
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ALC
1 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 1
GIM
76%
13%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ATM
6 - 0
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ALC
0 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ATM
1 - 0
GIM
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 1
ATM
42%
23%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |