Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-2
Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VCF
1 - 3
FCB
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCB
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 7
ATM
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATM
4 - 3
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATM
54%
20%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |