Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
CEL
4 - 2
FCB
51%
21%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
7 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BET
0 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 1
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
DEP
2 - 2
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
GRA
3 - 1
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 2
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |