Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SEV
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |