Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 0
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
ARE
1 - 3
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
3 - 0
RSO
76%
14%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATM
33%
20%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
3 - 3
RUN
62%
17%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
5 - 3
EUR
84%
10%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |