Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1929 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
5 - 1
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1929 |
ATM
3 - 1
RUN
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1929 |
RSO
3 - 3
ATM
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ATM
1 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATM
68%
17%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |