Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1925 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1925 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
FCB
8 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1925 |
ZAR
1 - 5
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1925 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1925 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1925 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1925 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |