Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-2
Barcelona vs Athletic Futbol Club de Pal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
AFP
2 - 2
FCB
17%
19%
64%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Futbol Club de Pal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
AFP
2 - 2
FCB
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 83 | 72 | 0 |