Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 2
FCB
38%
25%
36%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MLL
0 - 1
FCB
21%
23%
56%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 0
OSA
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 4
FCB
15%
22%
63%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FCB
4 - 0
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
4 - 3
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
2 - 2
GET
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
2 - 0
VAD
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |