Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
FCB
5 - 0
INT
63%
21%
17%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
RAC
0 - 0
FCB
20%
24%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 5
FCB
14%
22%
65%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
FCB
2 - 2
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCB
1 - 0
GET
74%
17%
10%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 0
OSA
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 0
LEV
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 0
MLL
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATH
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |