Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SLA
2 - 0
FCB
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCB
1 - 0
ELC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FCB
5 - 1
SPO
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ZAR
4 - 4
FCB
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
SLA
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ATH
0 - 0
ELC
67%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |