Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
OVI
1 - 0
FCB
16%
22%
63%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
4 - 4
HIB
95%
3%
1%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
4 - 2
MLL
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
58%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
3 - 5
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ESP
0 - 1
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ATH
3 - 1
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ATH
4 - 2
ELC
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
MLL
0 - 0
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |