Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 0
FCB
46%
22%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
4 - 0
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
FCB
7 - 2
MAL
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
DEP
2 - 0
FCB
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
75%
13%
12%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
DEP
4 - 0
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ATH
8 - 1
ALC
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
LLE
0 - 3
ATH
19%
21%
60%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ATH
4 - 1
VCF
65%
17%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |