Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
GRA
6 - 0
FCB
27%
20%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 2
RSO
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
54%
20%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
ATH
6 - 0
ATM
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ATH
1 - 0
GRA
87%
8%
4%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
RSO
0 - 1
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 3
VCF
68%
16%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |