Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 0
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
ARE
1 - 3
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 2
RUN
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
ARE
3 - 3
ATH
41%
23%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
EUR
2 - 2
ATH
13%
17%
71%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |