UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 1-3
Barcelona vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
VAD
1 - 3
FCB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
FCB
3 - 0
OSA
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
ASV
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1982 |
ASV
1 - 1
IPS
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |