Champions League Last 16
Global 5-1
Barcelona vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
6 - 0
GET
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EIB
0 - 4
FCB
3%
12%
85%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 5
FCB
5%
14%
82%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
SEV
88%
9%
4%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
FCB
10%
18%
72%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 2
WAT
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
HUL
0 - 4
ARS
14%
21%
65%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TOT
2 - 2
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 2
SWA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MUD
3 - 2
ARS
32%
26%
42%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |