Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Barcelona vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ELC
1 - 0
FCB
42%
25%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
ANT
2 - 1
FCB
31%
25%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
BER
1 - 1
ANT
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ANT
1 - 2
BEE
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
ANT
2 - 1
FCB
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
BRU
4 - 2
ANT
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
ANT
2 - 0
BER
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |