Barcelona vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
RAY
0 - 0
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
UDL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1980 |
ALM
2 - 0
AGD
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ALM
3 - 3
RAY
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
VCF
1 - 1
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ALM
4 - 2
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |