Barcelona vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 2
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 1
DEP
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 2
OVI
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
ALC
2 - 1
SAB
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
CEL
5 - 1
ALC
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GIM
3 - 1
ALC
54%
20%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALC
49%
22%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |