Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCB
27%
24%
49%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BET
2 - 3
FCB
17%
20%
63%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 5
FCB
10%
19%
70%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
77%
14%
9%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 2
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
VAD
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GET
0 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 4
RMA
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
SEV
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
ALA
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |