Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
RUN
1 - 1
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
FCB
6 - 2
ESP
69%
16%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ARE
5 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
RSO
4 - 1
FCB
39%
23%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 5
RAC
50%
20%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
ALA
3 - 1
RUN
42%
20%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
RMA
1 - 0
ALA
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
ATH
7 - 1
ALA
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
ALA
4 - 1
ESP
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |