Barcelona vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
EIB
93%
6%
1%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 2
FCB
12%
19%
70%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 2
FCB
21%
22%
57%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCB
6 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 0
FCB
10%
18%
72%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 0
ZWO
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JOS
0 - 9
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |