Barcelona vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 2
SEV
84%
10%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
18%
20%
62%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
82%
12%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MAL
0 - 1
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
13%
17%
71%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |