Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-1
Barcelona vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GET
1 - 3
FCB
12%
20%
68%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
FCK
1 - 1
FCB
17%
22%
61%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FCB
5 - 0
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 2
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 2
FCB
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 1
MUR
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
AGD
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 2
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 95 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 1
RJA
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 0
AGD
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |