Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Barcelona vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SAB
0 - 0
FCB
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
FCB
0 - 1
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 2
FCB
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CCF
2 - 1
FCB
27%
30%
43%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
KOL
5 - 2
STU
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 2
FCB
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 1
MSV
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
EIN
1 - 2
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
RAN
0 - 3
KOL
40%
24%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |