Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-2
Barcelona SC vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 1
BSC
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 1
BSC
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
4 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 1
BSC
62%
20%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
2 - 2
UNI
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 0
MIN
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |