Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 5-2
Barcelona SC vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAN
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
BSC
5 - 1
UCE
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
BSC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BSC
2 - 0
OLM
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEO
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
BSC
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
SBO
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |