Barcelona SC vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
BSC
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BSC
4 - 0
CUE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 1
BSC
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAO
48%
25%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
CSL
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |