Barcelona SC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
BSC
2 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
SAO
3 - 0
BSC
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
BSC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 2
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
44%
29%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAC
46%
29%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
53%
28%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |