Barcelona SC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
BSC
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 2
BSC
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BSC
1 - 0
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
BSC
31%
30%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CCP
3 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 3
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
12O
2 - 1
GUA
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
TAC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |