Barcelona SC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1964 |
COL
0 - 4
BSC
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
MIR
0 - 3
BSC
62%
19%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
BSC
2 - 3
COL
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1966 |
IND
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 1
GUA
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
0 - 2
IND
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |