Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-3
Barcelona SC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
BSC
4 - 3
COB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
COB
0 - 0
BSC
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 2
BSC
37%
30%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |