Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Barcelona SC vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1990 |
PRO
2 - 2
BSC
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
BSC
2 - 0
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
OPE
3 - 2
BSC
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1990 |
BSC
3 - 1
OPE
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
EME
2 - 0
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1990 |
UNI
1 - 0
EME
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1990 |
EME
1 - 0
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
EME
3 - 1
BSC
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |