Primera A Finals Final
Global 3-3
Barcelona SC vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
BSC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
BSC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
31%
29%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OLM
0 - 1
BSC
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
BSC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
2 - 0
QUI
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
1 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
QUI
5 - 0
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 2
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |