Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
6º
3º
12
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
11.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
1 - 3
BSC
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
BSC
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
BSC
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 1
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 2
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
OLM
0 - 0
IVT
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
IVT
52%
25%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
IVT
0 - 0
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
ORE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |