Barcelona SC vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
8º
8º
8
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 0
BSC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
BSC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
UCE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 2
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TEC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CAL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |