Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
JUN
0 - 2
BSC
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 2
FLA
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 2
JUN
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 0
UCE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
ORE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
TEC
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
34%
26%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |