Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
DEL
0 - 1
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 1
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 0
IVT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
BSC
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 3
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |