Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
BSC
2 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
SAO
3 - 0
BSC
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 0
BVS
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 1
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 0
OLI
7%
34%
59%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |