Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Barcelona SC vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 1
BSC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1998 |
COL
2 - 2
BSC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
BSC
2 - 1
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
AME
1 - 1
BSC
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 0
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 1
BSC
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
BUC
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 2
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |