Barcelona SC vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 4
BSC
19%
27%
53%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 0
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 0
BSC
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
EME
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 0
AUC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TEC
3 - 0
AUC
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |