Barcelona EC vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
ECU
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAB
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 5
GUA
17%
19%
63%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 1
ECU
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 1
MFC
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |