Barcelona RO vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona RO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRO
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 0
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 3
BRO
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
PAR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
IND
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
REC
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
REM
3 - 1
IND
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
IND
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |