Barça Atlètic vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
EXT
3 - 1
FCB
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
FCB
2 - 3
ALA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
LOG
1 - 1
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 0
LEG
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ALM
1 - 3
FCB
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
ATH
3 - 1
MLL
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
EIB
1 - 1
ATH
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ATH
1 - 1
CDB
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
ATH
0 - 0
RMC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
EXT
4 - 2
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |